Steven W. Webster
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Appendix for "Older, Younger, or More Similar? The Use of Age as a Voting Heuristic."

Age as a heuristic among independents, 2010


(1) (2) (3)
Vote Young Vote Young Vote Young

Age distance -0.007* 0.005 -0.013***
(0.003) (0.004) (0.004)
 
Non-white -0.075 0.155 -0.038
(0.079) (0.086) (0.089)
 
Female -0.191** -0.007 -0.097
(0.070) (0.080) (0.080)
 
Incumbent 0.061 -0.091 -0.278**
(0.106) (0.082) (0.094)
 
Interest -0.539*** -0.404*** -0.488** *
(0.050) (0.052) (0.056)
 
Income 0.027** 0.042*** 0.040** *
(0.009) (0.010) (0.010)
 
Vote in 2008 0.819*** 0.681*** 0.821** *
(0.064) (0.063) (0.071)
 
Constant -2.943*** -3.154*** -3.031** *
(0.304) (0.298) (0.324)

N 4696 3739 3674
AIC 5077.479 4026.032 3942.196

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among highly educated Democrats, 2010.


(1) (2) (3)
Vote Dem. (House) Vote Dem. (Gov.) Vote Dem. (Sen.)

Age distance -0.014*** -0.022*** -0.018***
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
 
Shared gender 0.002 0.058 -0.062
(0.039) (0.056) (0.062)
 
Shared race 0.425*** -0.125* 0.633***
(0.052) (0.054) (0.087)
 
Dem. incumbent 0.449*** 0.018 0.929***
(0.044) (0.078) (0.068)
 
Interest -0.538*** -0.578*** -0.474** *
(0.025) (0.029) (0.027)
 
Income 0.043*** 0.047*** 0.032** *
(0.005) (0.007) (0.006)
 
Vote in 2008 0.859*** 0.854*** 0.829** *
(0.029) (0.031) (0.033)
 
Constant -1.916*** -1.132*** -2.013** *
(0.150) (0.163) (0.199)

N 15324 13587 12841
AIC 14215.888 12493.954 12334.386

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among highly educated Republicans, 2010.


(1) (2) (3)
Vote GOP (House) Vote GOP (Gov.) Vote GOP (Sen.)

Age distance -0.015*** -0.025*** -0.022***
(0.003) (0.003) (0.003)
 
Shared gender 0.166*** 0.020 0.228***
(0.038) (0.056) (0.060)
 
Shared race 0.670*** -0.161* 0.322***
(0.051) (0.079) (0.077)
 
GOP incumbent 0.140* 0.009 -0.138
(0.062) (0.081) (0.097)
 
Interest -0.807*** -0.726*** -0.893** *
(0.041) (0.047) (0.046)
 
Income 0.045*** 0.048*** 0.074** *
(0.007) (0.008) (0.010)
 
Vote in 2008 0.867*** 0.779*** 0.910** *
(0.038) (0.038) (0.044)
 
Constant -1.340*** -0.815*** -1.033** *
(0.180) (0.168) (0.218)

N 15138 12606 11695
AIC 10744.458 10484.159 7308.392

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among Democrats, 2010. Reduced-form models.


(1) (2) (3)
Vote Dem. (House) Vote Dem. (Gov.) Vote Dem. (Sen.)

Age distance -0.025*** -0.036*** -0.028***
(0.002) (0.002) (0.002)
 
Shared gender 0.233*** 0.312*** 0.132***
(0.047) (0.043) (0.050)
 
Shared race 0.682*** 0.194*** 0.701***
(0.040) (0.043) (0.077)
 
Dem. incumbent 0.350 0.079 0.815***
(0.042) (0.072) (0.059)
 
Constant 0.578*** 1.216*** 0.486** *
(0.054) (0.060) (0.095)

N 18586 19154 15064

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among Republicans, 2010. Reduced-form models.

(1) (2) (3)
Vote GOP (House) Vote GOP (Gov.) Vote GOP (Sen.)

Age distance -0.017*** -0.040*** -0.032***
(0.004) (0.003) (0.004)
 
Shared gender 0.526*** 0.322*** 0.570***
(0.039) (0.053) (0.053)
 
Shared race 0.925*** 0.242*** 0.253***
(0.048) (0.096) (0.063)
 
GOP incumbent 0.750 -0.037 -0.115***
(0.057) (0.079) (0.073)
 
Constant 0.853*** 1.537*** 1.722** *
(0.076) (0.082) (0.080)

N 19154 15832 14799

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among Democrats, 2012. Reduced-form models.

(1) (2) (3)
Vote Dem. (House) Vote Dem. (Gov.) Vote Dem. (Sen.)

Age distance -0.014*** -0.029*** -0.029***
(0.002) (0.003) (0.003)
 
Shared gender 0.018 0.207 0.175***
(0.041) (0.160) (0.046)
 
Shared race 0.649*** 0.108 0.026
(0.067) (0.158) (0.113)
 
Dem. incumbent 0.399*** 0.062 0.348
(0.071) (0.363) (0.180)
 
Constant 1.139*** 1.779*** 1.810** *
(0.080) (0.186) (0.147)

N 16725 2654 14580

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among Republican, 2012. Reduced-form models.

(1) (2) (3)
Vote GOP (House) Vote GOP (Gov.) Vote GOP (Sen.)

Age distance -0.006* -0.021*** -0.007
(0.003) (0.005) (0.008)
 
Shared gender 0.231*** 0.316* 0.246***
(0.050) (0.161) (0.074)
 
Shared race 0.776*** 0.325 0.350
(0.047) (0.246) (0.195)
 
GOP incumbent 0.351*** -0.124 -0.053
(0.059) (0.238) (0.302)
 
Constant 1.306*** 1.491*** 1.589** *
(0.076) (0.277) (0.145)

N 15403 2499 12122

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among strong Democrats, 2010.

(1) (2) (3)
Vote Dem. (House) Vote Dem. (Gov.) Vote Dem. (Sen.)

Age distance -0.027*** -0.033*** -0.027***
(0.002) (0.003) (0.002)
 
Shared gender 0.169*** 0.256*** 0.096
(0.064) (0.052) (0.063)
 
Shared race 0.706*** 0.456*** 0.933***
(0.064) (0.056) (0.109)
 
Dem. incumbent 0.374*** 0.070 0.854***
(0.076) (0.075) (0.114)
 
Constant 1.139*** 1.587*** 0.877** *
(0.076) (0.075) (0.114)

N 10238 8942 8630

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among strong Republicans, 2010.

(1) (2) (3)
Vote GOP (House) Vote GOP (Gov.) Vote GOP (Sen.)

Age distance -0.019*** -0.041*** -0.032***
(0.003) (0.004) (0.006)
 
Shared gender 0.478*** 0.351*** 0.653***
(0.064) (0.088) (0.095)
 
Shared race 0.939*** 0.169 0.256*
(0.098) (0.148) (0.121)
 
GOP incumbent -0.048 0.086 -0.343*
(0.072) (0.119) (0.3145)
 
Constant 1.496*** 2.129*** 2.378** *
(0.103) (0.153) (0.151)

N 8832 7342 6903

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among strong Democrats, 2012.

(1) (2) (3)
Vote Dem. (House) Vote Dem. (Gov.) Vote Dem. (Sen.)

Age distance -0.017*** -0.028*** -0.032***
(0.003) (0.004) (0.003)
 
Shared gender 0.073 0.430* 0.160*
(0.078) (0.195) (0.079)
 
Shared race 0.710*** 0.507* 0.268*
(0.089) (0.211) (0.114)
 
 
Constant 1.863*** 1.972*** 2.573** *
(0.105) (0.229) (0.156)

N 9058 1405 7877

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Age as a heuristic among strong Republicans, 2012.

(1) (2) (3)
Vote GOP (House) Vote GOP (Gov.) Vote GOP (Sen.)

Age distance 0.007 -0.008 0.000
(0.004) (0.015) (0.009)
 
Shared gender 0.065 0.120 0.198
(0.078) (0.207) (0.126)
 
Shared race 0.813*** 0.109 -0.200
(0.093) (0.563) (0.817)
 
GOP incumbent 0.267*** -0.309 0.359** *
(0.090) (0.418) (0.933)
Constant 1.617*** 2.308*** 2.241** *
(0.119) (0.708) (0.185)
 

N 7350 1137 5720

Standard errors in parentheses
* p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001